Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CER
0 - 2
GAM
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GAM
0 - 1
VEG
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FCY
1 - 0
GAM
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 2
TOK
57%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GAM
2 - 2
VIS
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
NAG
1 - 2
VIS
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
KAR
2 - 2
NAG
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOK
4 - 4
NAG
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
KYO
1 - 2
NAG
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |