League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
FCY
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 6
KAR
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
NAG
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CON
0 - 4
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 5
KAR
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 6
KAR
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 1
KAA
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |