League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CER
0 - 3
GAM
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
4 - 1
CER
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
3 - 3
SHI
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
OIT
0 - 2
GAM
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
3 - 2
KAR
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CER
0 - 3
GAM
32%
23%
45%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
4 - 1
CER
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
KAW
3 - 2
CER
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
CER
1 - 0
ALB
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
JUB
3 - 0
CER
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |