Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
18º
16º
45
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
URA
3 - 0
GAM
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
GAM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAG
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GAM
2 - 1
SHO
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
URA
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAW
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 1
ALB
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
SHO
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |