SD Gama vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
14º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
GAM
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 3
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAM
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
TEX
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
TRO
26%
21%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
TRO
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
NAV
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
CAS
78%
14%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |