SD Gama vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
15º
15º
7
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 58 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 56 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 51 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 41 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 40 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 31 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
GAM
56%
23%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 0
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAY
1 - 2
GAM
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
GAM
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
ARE
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 3
SAM
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAY
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BEZ
0 - 1
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
CDG
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ESC
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |