SD Gama vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
14º
43
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
GAM
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAY
5 - 0
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 0
LRI
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 1
NAV
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
TEX
62%
22%
17%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |