Gama vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
DUQ
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
GAM
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
GAM
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOT
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
GAM
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
GAM
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
DUQ
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |