Gama vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
TUP
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 0
GAM
24%
22%
53%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
3 - 2
ITU
15%
24%
61%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
ANA
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOC
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |