Gama vs Samambaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 2
CEI
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Samambaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
63%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
PAR
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |