Copa Verde Final
Global 2-3
Gama vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAM
69%
19%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAM
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
IAC
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
IAC
1 - 2
PAY
15%
19%
67%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
REM
2 - 4
PAY
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 1
REM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |