Gama vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
1 - 0
CEI
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
0 - 3
GAM
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
SOB
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
GAM
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
4 - 3
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SOB
0 - 1
PAR
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
LEG
37%
23%
40%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
PLA
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |