Gama vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 6
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 1
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 2
SOB
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 1
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
CEA
9%
16%
75%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
CEA
9%
17%
75%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 0
ICA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |