Gama vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GAM
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 1
GAM
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOM
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |