Gama vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
62%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAM
65%
19%
17%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 0
GAM
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
86%
9%
4%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |