Gama vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 1
GAM
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 3
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
TOC
1 - 0
BRA
10%
22%
68%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |