Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Gama vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAM
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
VIL
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
CUI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |