Galway United vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
4º
41
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 51 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 49 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
GAL
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 0
GAL
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
6 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 0
WAT
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GAL
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
STP
1 - 0
SFK
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STP
3 - 2
SLR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 2
STP
33%
25%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
FCV
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |