Galway United vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
94
1º
5º
1º
10
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
GAL
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
TRE
51%
26%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
GAL
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAL
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
CAO
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
TRE
5%
15%
81%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 1
KEF
93%
5%
1%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 2
COB
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | -1 |