Galway United vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
94
1º
5º
1º
37
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 4
GAL
15%
24%
61%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
4 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BRW
1 - 4
GAL
9%
21%
70%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
GAL
13%
23%
65%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
4 - 1
COB
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
COB
5 - 1
FIN
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
STP
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 4
WAT
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 1
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
LON
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |