Galway United vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
10º
5º
24
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 3
GAL
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
SLR
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 1
GAL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
SHR
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAT
4 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOH
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |