Galway United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
10º
5º
55
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 1
GAL
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
STP
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
GAL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 0
GAL
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |