Galway United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 2
SLR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BOH
2 - 0
GAL
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BRW
1 - 2
GAL
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 3
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
GAL
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 2
DER
30%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
CAO
2 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |