Galway United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
UCD
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
UCD
1 - 2
GAL
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 2
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 0
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 2
WEX
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
STP
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BOH
2 - 1
DER
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
UCD
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
LIM
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SHR
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |