Galway United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLR
2 - 0
GAL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 2
UCD
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 0
BRW
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 0
GAL
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
DER
33%
26%
40%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2009 |
DER
0 - 0
SHR
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
CAO
1 - 0
DER
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
DER
3 - 2
BOH
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
DER
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
DRO
0 - 3
DER
40%
29%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |