Galvez EC vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.1%
78%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 4
GAL
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
RIO
30%
24%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
GAL
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 2
ATL
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AUD
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AUD
1 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
88%
10%
3%
|
86 | 35 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
9%
20%
72%
|
86 | 34 | 52 | 0 |