Série D Brazil Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-6
Galvez EC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAL
7 - 1
IND
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 0
GAL
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARN
5 - 0
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ARN
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
ARN
21%
25%
53%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 1
FLO
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |