Gallipoli vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 0
GAL
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
RPO
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
GAL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 3
NAR
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FON
5 - 0
GAL
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
APR
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
TUR
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TAR
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |