Gallipoli vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SSE
3 - 0
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 0
TUR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 3
ACI
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
5 - 1
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 0
GAL
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POM
2 - 2
FON
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
POM
1 - 3
FRA
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REA
1 - 3
POM
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
ARZ
34%
27%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |