Gallipoli vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
REG
2 - 1
GAL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 3
CRO
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 0
GAL
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
3 - 2
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 3
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 1
VIC
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 3
SAS
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |