Gallipoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
JUS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
GAL
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
POT
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 2
GAL
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
REA
2 - 2
GAL
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PRG
0 - 0
PES
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
PRG
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
PRG
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |