Gallipoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ARZ
3 - 2
GAL
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 0
GAL
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 2
PRG
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PRG
2 - 1
PES
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
SSS
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 2
PRG
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
PRG
0 - 2
PIS
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |