Gallipoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
3 - 1
GAL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 5
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 2
GAL
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 2
GRO
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CES
0 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 1
TOR
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
FRO
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 1
REG
31%
28%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |