Gallipoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
EMP
2 - 2
GAL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 2
PAD
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
3 - 1
GAL
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 5
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 2
GAL
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
GRO
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAS
0 - 2
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
PIA
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |