Gallipoli vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
GAL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
TER
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
GAL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
4 - 1
PES
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
USF
41%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 1
BEN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
REA
2 - 2
BEN
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
PIS
60%
26%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |