Gallipoli vs Bacoli Sibilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
JUS
3 - 1
GAL
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 2
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAL
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
PES
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
POT
0 - 0
GAL
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |