Gallipoli vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
18º
15º
42
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
USB
2 - 1
GAL
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 1
SSM
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
GAL
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 2
MAT
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 1
PAG
51%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 2
SMC
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 1
ROT
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ROT
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 3
ACC
49%
22%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASF
1 - 1
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |