Supercoppa di Serie C Final
Global 2-1
Gallipoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 2
REA
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
GAL
24%
28%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
CES
37%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
CES
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CES
1 - 1
ACL
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CES
3 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |