Wales U19 vs Sweden U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
3 - 2
WAL
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
WAL
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
NOR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 0
ROU
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
UKR
23%
23%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |