Wales U19 vs Moldova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
NED
0 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
10%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GEO
5 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 1
SVN
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 3
SWE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 2
GEO
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NED
3 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 8
NIR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
2 - 0
MDA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
GRC
0 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |