Wales U19 vs Spain U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
WAL
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
6 - 0
AND
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
TUR
3 - 0
WAL
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
ROU
3 - 2
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 1
WAL
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
5 - 1
MKD
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
SRB
2 - 1
ESP
26%
24%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |