Wales U19 vs Scotland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
KAZ
3 - 2
WAL
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
TUR
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 2
SVK
21%
21%
59%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
2 - 6
WAL
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 3
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SCO
4 - 5
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
NED
0 - 2
SCO
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
SCO
0 - 1
CZE
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCO
3 - 3
ARM
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |