Wales U19 vs Albania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
GEO
0 - 3
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEN
4 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Albania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
GEO
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 4
POR
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |