Wales U21 vs San Marino U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
LTU
69%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 0
WAL
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 0
WAL
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 5
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
ENG
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 80 | 61 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 0
WAL
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 3
MDA
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |