Wales U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 1
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
GEO
1 - 1
WAL
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 2
GEO
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BIH
1 - 0
WAL
46%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROU
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
POR
3 - 2
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SUI
2 - 4
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
7 - 0
LIE
92%
7%
1%
|
80 | 5 | 75 | 0 |