Wales U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
BLR
4 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUI
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
BLR
1 - 0
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ITA
6 - 2
WAL
82%
14%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
5 - 1
ARM
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
4 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
NOR
1 - 3
ESP
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
LVA
2 - 1
NOR
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |