Wales U21 vs Malta U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 4
WAL
73%
16%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 4
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Malta U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
FRA
11%
20%
69%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BIH
4 - 0
MLT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 1
ROU
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
MLT
2 - 1
SWE
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +1 |