Wales U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
BEL
1 - 0
WAL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
TUR
3 - 0
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1997 |
WAL
1 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1996 |
WAL
0 - 3
TUR
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1996 |
NED
0 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
ITA
0 - 1
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
GEO
2 - 0
ITA
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
ITA
1 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1997 |
POL
1 - 1
ITA
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
ITA
6 - 0
MDA
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |