Wales U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
WAL
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
MLT
0 - 4
WAL
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 2
FRA
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 0
BIH
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 1
MLT
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ENG
0 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
ENG
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 0
BGR
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |