Wales U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WLS
4 - 0
BIH
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
WLS
3 - 1
MLT
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
WLS
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 4
WLS
73%
16%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WLS
0 - 1
NIR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
ROU
0 - 0
FRA
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
4 - 0
BIH
77%
17%
7%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
FRA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
WLS
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |